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Ivory Coast Instability and International Relations Models

...... There are still significant security concerns for the United States in West Africa, and as a potentially strong ally there is a definite interest in seeing stability returned to the Ivory Coast. Having a solid partner in the region that is able to both lead by example and serve as a center for bringing greater stability to nearby oil-rich nations is a definite concern for the United States, and ongoing unrest in the Ivory Coast will only fuel increased violence and instability in countries with more direct relationships with the United States
There are certain obvious figures and sectors that the intelligence community should focus on in their assessment of the Ivory Coast in both its short and long-term prospects. Certain military leaders siding with President Gbagbo will likely be given key positions in whatever government ends up becoming the stabilizing force in the country, but this does not mean that they will necessarily serve the interests of that government or its allies (USDoS 2011). A strong youth dominance in the demographics of the Ivory Coast also suggests that an increasing number of factions with numbers sufficient to require inclusion in any stable government, and intelligence should largely focus