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Economics
There are a number of different metrics that can help to measure the health of an economy. The GDP is one of those numbers, and can be obtained from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Following a decline of 2.6% in 2009, the GDP grew in 2010 by 2.9%. GDP rates fluctuated by quarter, with a low of 1.7% in Q2 following by escalating growth in the last two quarters. This represents a slow recovery from the steep declines of 2008-2009. Another measure of economic health is unemployment. The current unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics is 9.0%, a decline of 0.4 percentage points from December. This rate is historically high, it is lower than at any point in the past year, again showing a sign of slow recovery. A third measure of economic health can be found in the inflation rate. The best measure of inflation is core inflation, which removes the highly volatile food and energy components from the index. Core inflation sits at 0.1% and has been around zero or just above for the past six months....
Low inflation is not congruent with a robust economy, but can indicate an economy that is growing very slowly, which appears to be the case. Put together, these three measures indicate that the economy is growing, but very slowly.
Monetary policy is essentially maxed out at present. The Fed's target overnight rate is at 0.25%, which is as low as the central bank is willing to reduce rates. This rate results in a low cost of borrowing, which in theory brings more money into the active money supply. The buyback of government securities, under a program that has become colloquially known as quantitative easing, is another means of introducing money to the economy, which again should spur investment. Overall, however, monetary policy has only had marginal impact. The Fed funds rate was cut early in the recession and did not stem the massive job losses and decline in GDP. Quantitative easing may have contributed something to recent growth, but Q4 growth in 2010 lagged that of Q4 2009, so there is…
Works Cited:
Bureau of Labor Statistics: CPI Detailed Report December 2010. Retrieved February 8, 2011 from http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpid1012.pdf
Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employment Situation Summary. Retrieved February 8, 2011 from http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Bureau of Economic Analysis: Gross Domestic Product: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2010. Retrieved February 8, 2011 from http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2011/pdf/gdp4q10_adv.pdf
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