There has been much discussion on this issue and from different points of view. An important study conducted on the Xinjiang and the internal security dilemma has been conducted by Jiaxing Xu, "The Ethnic Security Dilemma and Ethnic Violence: An Alternative Empirical Model and its Explanatory Power" (2012) in which the role of ethnic violence and is discussed as a possibility of explaining the ethnic security dilemma.
Ethnic Conflict in Xinjiang: An Application of Internal Security Dilemma
There has been much discussion on this issue and from different points-of-view. An important study conducted on the Xinjiang and the internal security dilemma has been conducted by Jiaxing Xu, "The Ethnic Security Dilemma and Ethnic Violence: An Alternative Empirical Model and its Explanatory Power" (2012) in which the role of ethnic violence and is discussed as a possibility of explaining the ethnic security dilemma. Another important resource for this case study is Michael Edward Brown's "The International Dimensions of Internal Conflict" in which he theorizes the aspects of internal conflicts and connection with ethnic groups and security dilemmas. Also, given that the subject is complex in its nature, it is important to also consider different aspects of the discussion, which also includes an environmental aspect, valid in Marissa a. Dorais' "The Go West Campaign in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, People's Republic of China: Water Scarcity and Economic Growth" and a language component, presented by Arienne M. Dwyer in "The Xinjiang Conflict: Uyghur Identity, Language Policy, and Political Discourse."
In terms of the theoretical analysis of the security dilemma, it is important to cosndier some of the most significant international theorist such as Henry Kissinger's "Diplomacy," Joseph E. Nye "Understanding international conflicts. An introduction to theory and history" or Pater Calvocoressi's "World politics since 1945." Also, Barry Buzan's study on security and the types of security that includes societal security is also important.
Part one: Definition of security dilemma, internal security dilemma, and applicability to the ethnic conflict in Xinjiang
China is one of the most significant poles of power at the moment, from various points-of-view, whether it is considered as the most populous country in the world, or as one of the most important and impressive economies of the world, or the actual political system that is the most important communist political system in the world. At the same time however, given its place in international relations, it is important for China to maintain an internal cohesion in terms of ethnic conflicts and aspects that would undermine its internal equilibrium. One such case is related to the ethnic conflict in Xinjiang that is affecting the Western part of China. This study considers the ethnic conflict from the point-of-view of the internal security dilemma.
The security dilemma is a term used by the theorists of international relations especially during the Cold War. More precisely, "the essence of the theory is that a state which arms itself to increase its security will decrease the security of the other states, even if its intentions are defensive. This could trigger an arms race or a preemptive attack, thereby defeating the purpose of the first states arms' buildup"
In the case of China, as mentioned previously, its status as a main player on the international relations scene is crucial. In order to reach the status of great power and to maintain it, the military component is rather significant. The most recent example in this sense is the Armaments' Race between the U.S. And the U.S.S.R. during the Cold War
. At the time, it was both a means to express their particular supremacy and a way to preserve their own security. This eventually led to the so-called security dilemma
. It only proved their true nature as great military powers because, taking into account their military parity and their comparable military capabilities, they had reached that point in which one's block security demanded the other one's insecurity or destruction. At the same time it underlined the importance of great powers to develop the means to support their claims for supremacy. Nonetheless, there is the issue of the stability of the system created in this way. The bipolar system was seen as stable due to the fact that the two sides both benefited from a type of threat that deterred the other. Although the Cold War also represented the practical application of the security dilemma and the arms race, it also represented one of the most stable systems of the international political relations
No side was willing to use their nuclear weapons, although both of them were aware of the fact that its adversary was in its possession. This equilibrium in terms of nuclear weapons also gave a sense of balance in establishing other relations as well. However, the situation changed as the Cold War ended because there was no force the U.S. could compare itself to. Moreover, the U.S.S.R. had left behind a series of regions that would later on determine already lingering crises
. In this sense, the 1980s war in Afghanistan triggered the emergence of nationalistic and revolutionary forces that rebelled against the soviet interference in the country. At that time, in order to keep the balance of power in the region, the U.S. supported both military and financially, the Taliban side, which would come to power. Following the end of the Cold War, due to the lack of a strong authority in the region, the situation and the rebellious spirits worsened and they eventually created a state of chaos that would foster terrorist threats.
The internal security dilemma that can be applied to the Chinese case of Xinjiang refers in particular to the way in which the societal security rather than state security is affected as part of an internal process of maintenance of national identity. The threats to the integrity of the state and to its security no longer take into account only the military aspects as during the Cold War period but also reflect particularities such as the societal security. More precisely, "societal security concerns itself with the security of collectivities or "societies." According to Waever et al., there is a distinction between state security and societal security: state security is generally conceived of as concerned with protecting the sovereignty of the state from external threats, while societal security is concerned with threats to identity"
. The issue of societal security reflects the internal frictions that exist especially between minority groups at the level of the country. Currently, "There are fifty-six officially recognized ethnic groups or minzu in China, including the majority Han"
. Among these ethnic groups, the Uyghurs are a significant part of the population of the Xinjiang region. However, since the end of the Second World War and the takeover of the province by the Communist rule in 1948, they have been constantly threatened in terms of their own religious, ethnic identity
. This in turn led to a certain retaliatory policy in the administrative province from the ethnic group. Therefore the security dilemma that is usually applied to external actors such as state to state, in the "internal" security dilemma, the attempt of the central forces to maintain the national identity of the country determined a chain of actions that led to a retaliatory attitude from the minority group. Therefore, China as a state and the Uyghurs as an ethnic group are facing a security dilemma in their attempt to maintain identity and societal security.
Part two: How policies, migration, cultural influences strengthen the Party-state position in Xinjiang generate greater societal insecurity to Uyghur
There have been many attempts from the Chinese state after the occupation of the region to try to impose a control over the ethnic group. They included migration of Han Chinese, the majority group in China, cultural pressures, and religious limitations. "In 1949, the Chinese Communist Party took over the territory and declared it a Chinese province. In October 1955, Xinjiang became classified as an "autonomous region" of the People's Republic of China. The Chinese government in its white paper on Xinjiang says Xinjiang had been an "inseparable part of the unitary multi-ethnic Chinese nation" since the Western Han Dynasty, which ruled from 206 BCE to 24 AD."
The White Paper on Xinjiang states that since the "peaceful liberation on September 25, 1949" the Xinjiang region has known an important economic, human, and social development with the due help provided by the Chinese state
. Furthermore, the Paper also argues on the equal rights of ethnic groups around the country. At the same time though, as per the Chinese government, in order to improve the unity of the population, there are regular meetings aimed to "promote the concepts of equality, unity and progress as the primary principles in the relationships between ethnic groups, and make mutual trust, mutual respect, mutual learning, mutual support and mutual understanding social norms to be routinely followed by people of all ethnic groups
." This is an important aspect to be taken into account particularly because it provides the necessary platform, since 1983, to reduce the disparities between ethnic groups but at the same time it can be interpreted as being a means through which a loss of ethnic identity can take place.
Since 1949 there has been a wide policy of control from the Chinese government over the autonomous region particularly due to the important strategic position it has for the region. More precisely, given the fact that the region borders with countries such as the former USSR, especially during the Cold War period, the control of the Chinese over the region was essential. In this sense, "During the 1950s and 1960s, especially after the falling-out between China and the former Soviet Union, the Chinese government actively relocated Han Chinese to frontier provinces such as Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Heilongjiang, in order to consolidate the border in light of possible military threat from the Soviets"
. Therefore, the decision to intervene in the ethnic composition of the region was not only a choice related to the national identity of the country but also to geostrategic aspects.
After the end of the Cold War, the region remained of importance for China form the perspective of the national identity as well as crucial natural resources, which include oil reserves. From this perspective, massive investments have been conducted in the region, stating the official reason to be the reduction of the disparities between the regions of China. In this sense, "Rich in natural gas, oil, and warm weather for agriculture, Xinjiang is, for some, the perfect example of a region primed for the booming development that much of the rest of the country has experienced"
. Therefore, the Western Development Program promoted by Deng Xiaoping focused on several regions of the country that needed increased assistance for development. One such region was Xinjiang. In this sense, "In 1982, the Twelfth Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) set the goal of quadrupling the gross industrial and agricultural output and raising the living standard of the country to a "comparatively well-off level"
The improvement in economic terms was achieved through different means that included migration of Han Chinese and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corporation
. These two aspects combined however determined rising tensions between the Han Chinese and the ethnic group. This is largely due to the fact that the investment projects and the projects for the development of infrastructure and industries in the region determined an increase need for additional natural resources including water, which is rather scarce in the region. Moreover, with the new flux of migrants the pressures on natural resources became even greater and determined an even more important tension between the two groups.
Despite the fact that the White Paper of Xinjiang stated the full autonomy of the region and the equal rights of all ethnic groups, these considerations have not been applied in practice. In this sense, the migration of the Han Chinese during the Cold War period is considered to have been state orchestrated
. More precisely, "While early Han migration -- from the 1950s to the 1970s -- was primarily state-orchestrated, recent Han migrants tend to be self-initiated, and they must compete with Uyghurs in the labor market."
This competition not only provides a hostile environment for the labor market but at the same time it ensures the eventuality of ethnic clashes between the two groups. Further, despite the considerations of the White Paper on Xinjiang, the state orchestrated migration included discriminatory measures to encourage Han Chinese to relocate in the area
The control exercised by the Chinese government is also reflected in the area of the cultural heritage of the ethnic population as well as its religious background. In this sense, despite the fact that China is a mix of ethnic groups, the tendency in the past decades has been to reduce the influence and use of ethnic languages in favor of mandarin. Moreover, "Language policy has been at the heart of Chinese nation building. Shortly after the inception of the People's Republic of China (PRC), language policy in China's border regions was responsive to local conditions (…). In the last 15 years, however, although China's official language policy has remained constant, its covert language policy has become increasingly reactive (…). This trend has been particularly salient in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR), where multilingualism and cultural pluralism have been progressively curtailed in favor of a monolingual, mono cultural model"
From the point-of-view of the religious identity of the ethnic group, given that the minority is of Islamic creed, a proper acceptance of all religions in China, especially in the perspective of the fight against terrorism, is rather difficult. Also, taking into account the fact that the autonomous region makes the connection with the Stan countries, its role in the fight against terrorism is essential. At the same time though, according to recent reports from the Human Rights Watch, "Under the guise of counterterrorism and anti-separatism efforts, the government also maintains a pervasive system of ethnic discrimination against Uighurs and other ethnic minorities, along with sharp curbs on religious and cultural expression and politically motivated arrests. (…) by the end of 2011, 80% of traditional neighborhoods in the ancient Uighur city of Kashgar will have been razed. Many Uighur inhabitants have been forcibly evicted and relocated to make way for a new city likely to be dominated by the Han population"
The role China plays in the region is, according to most experts, one that would only fuel the discrepancies between the Han Chinese and the Uighurs. This is largely due to the fact that the measures undergone at the level of the region are not in accordance with its autonomous status
. Moreover, the actual economic five-year plan for the region that was aimed at improving the development of the region in order to reduce the disparities and at the same time to improve the national identity in the region would most probably fuel additional tensions between the groups. On the other hand however, China cannot afford to allow an autonomous region with essential potential for the country as a whole to become even more detached from China. In this sense, the general trend in the region is that of non-considering themselves as part of China but rather as having religious, cultural, and national affinities for the neighboring states.
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