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Economic Issue Prevailing in the United States

Last reviewed: July 24, 2013 ~5 min read

¶ … economic issue prevailing in the United States is that of rapid fiscal and monetary stimulus and its inflation implications. Currently, due in part to prevailing market conditions, governments have embarked on a path to massive fiscal ease. Governments, including the United States, Japan, Europe, and China have all engaged in massive stimulus operations. These operations are designed to help build consumer confidence while also enhancing the overall appeal of risky asset classes. For instance, the United States has kept interest rates near 0% for the past two years with an expectation of low interest rates until 2015. This low interest rate environment makes alternative assets such as stock, bonds, and real estate more attractive on a relative basis. High dividend paying stocks for instance, offer a yield of roughly 3% which is nearly double that of the 10-year treasury. These massive stimulus efforts however, have yet to enhance economic activity as previously anticipated. As such, the massive asset purchases created by the government may result in rapid inflation as more currency is circulating in their respective economies. As governments continue to print money, the relative value of this money will continue to decline, ultimately harming the consumers it was intended to help. Furthermore, this low interest rate environment is harming those who depend on their savings to generate income. With interest rates at record lows, and savings accounts generating very little income, inflation will erode the purchasing power of these savings. As such, it is my contention that the government should reframe from massive amounts of stimulus as the threat to consumers is very large in regards to inflation (Robert, 1988).

Inflation also pertains to currency risk relative to foreign competitors. Higher inflation in one country will increase the value of a foreign competitor's currency on a relative basis. China for instance intentionally keeps their currency low in order to increase its value relative to the dollar. This makes American imports more expensive and Chinese exports very inexpensive. With impending inflation, American goods are becoming cheaper on a currency basis. This makes exports more competitive while imports are more expensive. However, in regards to consumers, the purchasing power of their dollars are decreasing as rapid inflation erodes the amount of goods they can consumer (Tobin, 1969). American consumers must now contend with low interest rates that discourage inflation. Inflation increases the costs of commodity like products such as food, energy and metals. As such prices are increasing as purchasing power is decreasing, thus creating more economic uncertainty. Businesses must now cut costs, increase prices, or a combination of the two in order to effectively combat inflation. Cost cuts will most likely include layoffs thus exacerbating the economic problems of the world. Business, particularly those heavily emphasizing technology, are constantly changing. In many instances these changes are occurring due to a combination of internal and external factors. These factors often modify the American economy because the fundamental business itself has shifted. A very dynamic force that is changing the economy task is that of globalization. Globalization is particularly contentious because it has no geographic limits. Competition can now come from anywhere at anytime. As such, management must be cognizant of the changing dynamics prevailing in their respective industries. The auto industry, for example, has directly felt the impact on globalization and stakeholder expectations. The auto industry prior to foreign competition was characterized by large fixed asset costs, hefty legacy and pension obligations, and slow innovation. However, through globalization the Japanese's were able to enter the market and product high quality lower cost cars to the market. Eventually it took a near bankruptcy event for the industry to finally change the manner it which it produces cars. Through this instance of the external global force, management tasks in the industry changed to a more nimble quality oriented focus. The business operations were altered to reflect the changing consumer demand for higher quality more fuel efficient vehicles. And stakeholder expectations were altered as the Japanese had now become a more viable competitor in the market place. Restructurings often occur due to external forces prevailing in the market. This could include price wars, an obsolete product, and the introduction of new products, a severe economic downturn and so forth. Restructurings change management tasks because the must undoubtedly terminate and lay off workers. This can be difficult as layoffs can result in key personnel leaving to the competition. It also lowers employee moral and cause angst and confusion amongst employees. It alters business operations as employees are not as productive. They are often more concerned with their personal jobs as they are about the work needed to be done. These same occurrences also arise when firms are also merged or acquired by competitors in the same industry.

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References
2 sources cited in this paper
  • 1) Robert J. Gordon (1988), Macroeconomics: Theory and Policy, 2nd ed., Chap. 22.4, 'Modern theories of inflation'. McGraw-Hill.
  • 2) Tobin, James, American Economic Review, march (1969), "Inflation and Unemployment
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PaperDue. (2013). Economic Issue Prevailing in the United States. PaperDue. https://www.paperdue.com/essay/economic-issue-prevailing-in-the-united-93388

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