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Global warming: evaluating theory versus empirical reality

Last reviewed: November 19, 2010 ~7 min read

¶ … Global Warming a Theory or a Reality?

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"Carbon Trade is a generic term that covers a wide range of activities, in countries where absolute caps on greenhouse gas emissions have been translated." (Worthington, 2005,-page 50) Global Warming's supposed real effect on global environmental conditions relative to domestic and international economic and regulatory changes has propelled top scientists to remain vigilant in the search for answers. "KP stipulates emissions reductions only for the most industrialized countries." (Worthington, 2005,-page 50) Environmentalists and politicians argue that Global Warming is real, and point to refuted research correlating rapidly melting polar ice caps to increased rates of greenhouse gas emissions. "In the absence of aggressive and expensive abatement, greenhouse gases will continue to accumulate in the atmosphere, and we will experience warming." (Mendelsohn, 1999,-page 2)

New information has revealed the natural warming cycle of the earth, and the emergence from the last mini ice age. "The extreme warm spell -- called the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum -- saw global temperatures soar by 6C (11F) within a few thousand years." (Derbyshire, November 2010)

Another theory points to Global Cooling rather than Global Warming as the actual condition. "The bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 to 30 years, say some of the world's most eminent climate scientists." (Rose, 2010) the scientifically posed question remains, is 'Global Warming' a real phenomena or faux?

Multi-Decadal Oscillations:

Further deducing from the changes to the topography of the global landscape, there appears to have been various cycles of global warming and cooling, leading to droughts and desert conditions and tundra on former tropical lands.

"They (U.S. National Snow and Ice Date Centre in Colorado), say that their research shows that much of the warming was caused by oceanic cycles when they were in a 'warm mode' as opposed to the present 'cold mode'. According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Date Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has grown by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 -- and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this." (Rose, 2010)

Professor Mojib Latif, a leading member of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), claims that a large portion, as much as 50% of the warming experienced over 1/5 of the 20th century, the 20 years covering 1980 to 2000. "Latif suggested it could be anything between ten and 50 per cent." (Rose, 2010)

Deducing from this scientific analysis of atmospheric and oceanic conditions has revealed much information to the contrary, and much to the dismay of supporters of the static global warming theory. Ostensibly, preeminent weather patterns that engage in cyclical activity prevail as the real harbinger of warming and cooling temperatures that lead to changes in environmental conditions. "The models have not been tested for reliability over 100 years, or even 20 years. Different models yield variations in warming of 400% which means they are statistically meaningless." (Aiyar, India Daily, 2005)

In support of Professor Latif is Professor Anastasios Tsonis, head of the University of Wisconsin Atmospheric Sciences Group. "We have such a change now and can therefore expect 20 or 30 years of cooler temperatures." (Rose, Professor Tsonis, 2010) He further claims that MDO's explain all statistically significant deviations in global temperatures from the 1900's through the new millennia. "Global air temperatures have been rising at a steady trend rate of 0.5 degrees Centigrade per century since about 1750, as the world recovers from the little ice age." (Evans, Global Research, 2009

Global temperatures cooled off from 1940 through the late 1970's, which refutes the casual relationship earlier defined by scientists between rises in CO2 levels and global warming. Tsonis also points to a Washington Post article from 1922 that reports Greenland glaciers to be fast disappearing and arctic seals not engaging their warmer waters. Subsequently the period from the 1980's to 2000 showed an aggressive rise in temperature. Tsonis does agree to an element of human activity and greenhouse gas that contributes to the MDO cycle but does not believe in predictions of catastrophe associated with Global Warming. He further states that we may see reports of an on setting ice age by the early 2030's, as the MDO's shift causing temperatures to rise once again. The politics of the prevailing Global Warming theory is evident in governmental budgets. Dr. David Viner, formerly of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit claims snow will become scarce to the U.K if not globally. "Children just aren't going to know what snow is." (Rose, Viner, 2000)

Conclusion:

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PaperDue. (2010). Global warming: evaluating theory versus empirical reality. PaperDue. https://www.paperdue.com/essay/global-warming-a-theory-or-6485

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