The foremost reason cited for pessimism with regard to global arms trading is technological smuggling, overseas systems’ reverse engineering, and the intense merchant rivalry when it comes to delivering more superior offset agreements, increasing advanced weapon manufacture capability worldwide. The above trend has brought about a significant decline in the need for buying on the global market (Naylor, 2004). One may witness synergy between trade of illegal imports, weapon proliferation and political revolts. On the face of it, an abrupt decrease was apparent in global arms trade following the Cold War. But if one delves deeper, one will find several reasons suggesting the weapon proliferation issue hasn’t dwindled similarly. One factor is, decreased measured weapon flow has accompanied a seeming growth in arms sales via the global black market that is not officially recorded.
Furthermore, a mere analysis of total value fails to account for the dangerous move in reasons underlying demand. The major part of the weapons proliferation during the Cold War wasn’t in preparedness for a real war; rather it can be regarded as the biggest Potlatch in world history. Potlatch is a kind of ceremony commonly held by Pacific Northwestern natives for ensuring political competition didn’t end in intra-community war (Naylor, 2004). Likewise, the aforementioned weapons proliferation of the Cold War (so far as it wasn’t, for the West, a mere huge arms sector boondoggle) saw participating nations overtly wasting maximum possible national resources for stockpiling arms never intended for use. The aim was spending opponents into yielding. Currently, however, as Cold War limitations have been gotten rid of, one can safely assume that arms now purchased are actually intended for application and not just for dissuasion or show (Naylor, 2004; Richard, 2002), with the outcome being increased killing power for every unit of currency expended.
Thirdly, measured total value decline is partly an outcome of price cuts, rather than quantity decreases. At one time, first-hand AK-47s’ wholesale rate was roughly 12.5 dollars. In the 90’s, Russians were able to acquire first-hand guns at 30-40 dollars, and Cambodians bought secondhand guns for a mere eight dollars (which was the Ugandan rate per chicken, or the rate of a maize bag in Mozambique or Angola) (Naylor, 2004). Irrespective of the rate, the weapon’s killing efficiency remains the same. This trend was supported by the comparative move to less-advanced, reasonably-priced material having established efficacy in real combat from costly, sophisticated articles procured for national prestige.
Fourthly, to serve political and strategic ends, states tend to under-report legal arms trade as well, in addition to unconventional arms-related technology and parts trade. Vendors mix arms data with civilian goods information, with purchasers misrepresenting “double-use” technology and parts for making it seem that their purchase is solely for a nonthreatening purpose. Undoubtedly, the arms trade is intrinsically corrupt (Naylor, 2004) and characterized by bid rigging, industrial spying, fake invoicing, revolving door associations (incorporating buyer, public administrator, and manufacturer), and falsified test-data (Van Duyne et al., 2003). Weapons market wholesalers and retailers may be segregated as undercover or overt. In the modern world, rebels aren’t the only black market purchasers. Even formal states refrain from open purchase and resort to black market buying for logistical, fiscal or strategic purposes.
The final, more alarming reason is the seeming arms sales growth handled unofficially on the world black market (Naylor, 2004). Earlier, such markets were smaller in size and scope, and not easily accessible to mainstream society. Of late, black markets seem to be institutionally entrenched within legal economies, due to the fact that legal companies tend to increasingly resort to shady tactics and underground businesspersons function within a legal transaction matrix, aspiring to achieve long-term commercial existence. Indeed, one alternative approach to traditional imagery indicates most traditionally-defined crime constitutes small-time offenders’ domain; the actual danger comes from the apparently legal businesses experimenting with the extent to which rules may be bent prior to paying policymakers to affect reforms (Finckenauer, 2006).
References
Finckenauer, J. O. (2006). Black markets, illegal finance, and the underworld economy, R.T. naylor, cornell university press, 2005. Crime, Law and Social Change, 45(3), 227-230.
Naylor, R. T. (2004). Wages of crime: Black markets, illegal finance, and the underworld economy. Cornell University Press. Retrieved from https://books.google.co.ke/books?id=mr6q4zNufC0C&pg=PA88&lpg=PA88&dq=chapter+3+%22Gun+Smoke+and+Mirrors%22+in+Wages+of+Crime&source=bl&ots=VzBj1Wo5BG&sig=JaEtS-KXvzQt0ov66Gn0wF2Ls7k&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjBkoKozazXAhWJuhoKHWUaD7MQ6AEIJjAA#v=onepage&q=chapter%203%20%22Gun%20Smoke%20and%20Mirrors%22%20in%20Wages%20of%20Crime&f=false on 7 November 2017
Richard N., C. (2002). Wages of Crime: Black Markets, Illegal Finance, and the Underworld Economy R. T. Naylor. Foreign Affairs, (5), 200. doi:10.2307/20033290
Van Duyne, P. C., Pheijffer, M., Kuijl, H. G., Van Dijk, A. T. H., & Bakker, G. J. (2003). Financial investigation of crime: A tool of the integral law enforcement approach. Wolf Legal Publishers.
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