Michael Reid's "Forgotten Continent" and Latin America's global emergence

Forgotten Continent: The Battle for Latin America's Soul

Latin American used to be considered a non-entity in terms of economic opportunity. When some one said, "Latin America" it typically conjured up images of primitive tribes, jungles, and ancient long lost ruins. It was not associated with a land of opportunity for investment and venture capital. However, Latin America continues to improve its image and is in the process of integrating into the global economy. Latin America is becoming a player in the world economy. Michael Reid's book, "Forgotten Continent: The Battle for Latin America's Soul" examines Latin America in a new light. This book examines Latin America and its deepened democratic institutions as a world of opportunity and social advancement.

Social inequalities and authoritarian dictatorships, once endemic to Latin America, are not being replaced by new social orders. Social change in Latin America has provided the means to improve infrastructure and increase economic opportunities. However, U.S. policy on Latin America has always treated it as the unruly stepchild. The U.S. would rather focus efforts in other, more profitable areas of the globe, such as Russia and the Middle East. Latin America hardly got a mention in Washington strategy discussions.

The media also played a role in minimizing the place that Latin American and the changes that are taking place have in the minds of Washington bureaucrats and the American public. Unless the news was particularly earth-shattering, the press hardly wasted the ink. When they did publish a story on Latin America, it was usually in a negative context. Latin America became associated with drugs, street gangs, violence and illegal immigration. However, lately Latin America has been working to change that image, but the American press has hardly taken notice.

Reid's Key Arguments

Reid argues that Latin America should matter to Americans, even if the mass media refuses to follow suit. Latin Americans have now surpassed black Americans and now represent America's largest ethnic group. Latin America has become a smoldering pot for new and old ideas. One can find emerging democracies, socialist, communist, free market, and other forms of society living side by side. Sometimes, fences make good neighbors in Latin America. Conflict between competing ideas has been a leading factor in the ability of Latin American to present a unified front to the rest of the world.

The emergence of Latin America has not been without labor pains. A shift toward ideas favored by the United States has led to stagnation and economic meltdown. In the face of economic crises, many countries replaced forward-thinking U.S. friendly leaders with someone that resembled the old way of thinking. This led to the denouncement of development ideas from the U.S. It was thought that what worked for the U.S. would not work for other countries. Therefore, any new ideas about development from the U.S. would be automatically rejected.

There are two sides to the Latin American story. One side tells the story of failed attempts at change, leading to economic disaster and despair. The other side is a story of developing democratic institutions and integration into the global economy. This side also tells the story of recognizing social inequalities and the foundations of reform designed to eliminating them in the future. Progress has been slow and steady, not the juicy stuff to spark media attention. However, slow revolutionary changes have been present and are gaining ground, despite their lack of attention by the U.S. press. This is exactly what Michael Reid was trying to address in his book. He highlighted the slow revolution that is embracing Latin America and the impact that it is likely to have on the balance of power in the global economy in the future.

Reid agrees that there have been some major problems and mistakes made on the way to reform, but that despite these challenges, a new world order is emerging in Latin America. Reid feels that many Latin American countries are in much better economic shape than they were at the beginning of the new millennium. A spike in oil prices since 2001 has helped many countries, such as Venezuela to become major players in the supply of natural resources. However, Chavez's attempted revolution were counterproductive to this goal. Reid supplied amply evidence that this plan was not sustainable for Venezuela's economy or for their natural resources.

Reid did not focus on Chavez and the problems highlighted by the mass media. Instead, he focused on countries such as Brazil and Mexico, whose reforms were much more likely to be sustainable in the future. Reid was more interested in long-term permanent change, rather than short-term antics that were not likely to result in stability of new ideas. Reid's purpose can be considered oppositional to that of the mass media. Reid's purpose was to examine changes in an academic manner. The media only tends to focus on sensationalism that will sell more newspapers.

Focus on Social Change

Reid points out that the most dramatic changes in Latin America have come in the form of social change. The historical roots of social stratification in Latin America lie in colonialism and slavery. This overlapped existing ethnic divisions, creating a unique local class structure. This is particularly true in Andean countries, such as Bolivia, Ecuador, and Venezuela. Reid highlight the underlying social changes and provides several plausible explanations for them.

Reid uses the example of the development of social programs and changes to improve the educational system as the primary reason for these developments. In once case, Reid found that in 15 years, the percentage of Latin American households with electricity has risen from 83 to 90%. He demonstrates that the rates of attendance at primary school systems have shown similar increases. Reid assigns causality to these factors, but in reality, it is not known the relationship between these two elements is causal or merely a coincidence.

Generalizations and drawing causal inferences from historical data are one of the key arguments against the plausibility of Reid's causes of social change. These two factors may be connected, as Reid suggested, but it is also logical that these two factors may have no relationship to one another at all and these statistics are coincidence. Reid does not discuss this possibility, but takes this relationship as the theoretical reason for the trend. It is difficult to deny the underlying social changes that Reid points out, but there is no direct evidence that he has found the reason for the changes.

Reid compares programs to help those that are impoverished in Latin countries as a means to measure social change. For instance, during the 1990s, Mexico began a program called "progresa," which provided small cash stipends to poor people on the condition that they set their children to school. This program has been expanded to include all of Mexico under President Fox. Brazil began a similar program called "Bolsa Familia" which now provides funds to one in four families. Reid uses these programs to make the argument that social advances are underway in Latin America, but the actual success of these programs must be considered in light of the millions that are still impoverished (Curiel).

It is difficult to argue that these social programs will help to provide at least temporary relief to Latin Americans. They do represent some evidence that attempt are being made at social reform, as Reid contends. However, the long-term affects of these programs are yet to be seen. They represent an attempt to bolster economies, but they also need to develop a solid underlying support system. They may actually hurt the economy more than they help it in the future, if they cannot be funded for a period long enough for younger citizens to begin reaping the benefits of education. This is one point that Reid failed to consider, but one that could have a lasting impact on the ability of Latin American to sustain its slow growth pattern.

Latin American countries need to balance provision of social programs with programs that promote all-out growth in the economy. Both are needed to build a base that can be sustainable in the future. Thus far, only Chile has been able to sustain a long-term rate of growth that has made a serious dent in poverty. Even so, Chile is still plagued by vast inequalities in its society. The process of ending poverty through education is only half of the equation. The economy must be in place to provide jobs, once children reach the age of employment in order for these programs to have any success in growing the economy.

Conclusion

Reid tackles a multitude of questions in his book. The book tried to appeal to two different audiences. The first half of the book was written for those that do not have a solid background in Latin American history, politics, and culture. This is necessary information for readers that do not have the proper background to understand the second half of the book (Curiel). The second half of the book poses an interesting argument about Latin American politics today. The first half of the book is necessary, if one does not already have the information. However, if the reader is well-versed in Latin American history, politics, and culture, it could easily be skipped without losing the message.

Much of the information in the first half of the book is factual and not easily disputed. However, the second half of the book is highly opinionated. Reid supports his arguments with solid evidence. However, the interpretation and extrapolation of that evidence is questionable. Reid draws inferences based on two supposedly unconnected phenomenons, but presents the evidence as if it is statistically correlated. This leads one to believe that there is some bias in the presentation of the data.

It could easily appear that Reid has twisted some of the data to support his own arguments and ideas, rather than letting it stand on its own. Reid's experience as a journalist shows through in this respect (Curiel). In addition, Reid does not defend counterarguments or other opinions on the ideas presented. This book reads as an authoritative source, with an argument based on sound evidence. However, much of the evidence is based on false causality. For instance, we do not know if programs in Mexico to end poverty will bolster the economy in the future, or how much impact they have had on a growing economy up until now. It would appear as if these two factors are connected, but there is no hard evidence to support this supposition. There are many other factors that could influence the results, but that were not taken into account, or addressed by Reid.

In the final analysis, this book is much more convincing for those that need to read the first half for the necessary background. This audience lacks the knowledge to disagree with the ideas presented by Reid. However, for the more academically sophisticated audience of the second half of the book, the evidence is questionable. The issues at hand are much more complex than the picture that Reid presents.

Politics in Latin America are complex. Reid's work contributes to the existing body of information by drawing attention to many circumstances that have been ignored by the mass media and by policymakers. It is difficult to argue that these issues need to be addressed, but it the potential outcomes presented Reid are difficult to judge. This work is important for the attention that it draws to certain issues, but only time will tell if the scenarios will pan out the way Reid predicts. The book was interesting reading, once the reader gets through the first half of the book. Overall, Reid's work is an important contribution to the study of Latin American politics and their contribution to the global marketplace.