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Black Monday - 1987
On Monday, October 19, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial fell 508 points -- which meant that it lost 22.6% of its value -- which was an unprecedented fiscal calamity at that time. This paper delves into that frightening dive, into the reasons why it happened, and looks into the possibility that it could happen again.
Why did it happen?
In January, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrials gained 13.8%, according to NBC's Consumer News and Business Channel (CNBC). Through the month of March the Dow was up 21.6% and through July the Dow was up 37.7% (CNBC). In August of 1987 the Dow peaked at 2,722, a remarkable gain of 43.6% on the year. Then in October (between the 2nd and 16th) the Dow lost 15%, which was a kind of warning shot to investors that something was wrong. Then on the 19th of October, the market crashed and the Dow lost about 23%, according to CNBC. The year ended with a 2.3% gain overall (CNBC).
Bruce Bartlett, a senior fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis explains that the blame for the 1987 crash can be traced to the "…interplay between stock markets and index options and future markets" (Itskevich, 2002, p. 1). In the stock market component, investors actually purchase shares of stock, Bartlett explains. But in the futures market, investors are only "purchasing rights to buy or sell stocks at particular prices"; hence, the value of options and futures -- which are called derivatives -- is driven by changes in actual stock prices albeit "no shares are owned" (Itskevich, 1). Bartlett puts...
stocks…" in comparison to foreign securities at that moment (Itskevich, 2). The University of Melbourne website questions whether the U.S. budget deficit really was part of the problem, because if it was then why didn't stock markets in other countries crash as well?
Meanwhile, according to Forbes staffer Robert Lenzner, the dive in the Dow was "…triggered by the use of dangerous leveraged stock index futures in Chicago" (Lenzner, 2012, p. 1). That in turn caused many investors and other firms to lose control of their "sell orders" and it turned into a "chaotic mess" that was not regulated and not "transparent" (Lenzner, 1). From that problem there resulted a "wholesale short dumping of S & P. index futures" which caused "massive selling of the underlying shares" in the NYSE (Lenzner, 1).
The author suggests that the computerized programming in the world of investments helped create the mess. And interestingly, Lenzner asserts that the crash on Monday, October 19, 1987, had nothing whatsoever to do with the American economy. In fact the market was going through…
Works Cited
Bozzo, Albert. (2007). Can It Happen Again? CNBC.com. Retrieved November 27, 2012, from http://www.cnbc.com.
Carson, Mark. (2006). A Brief History of the 1987 Stock Market Crash. Federal Reserve
Board. Retrieved November 27, 2012, from http://www.federalreserve.gov.
Consumer News and Business Channel (CNBC). (2012). Remembering the Crash of 87.
Retrieved November 27, 2012, from http://www.cnbc.com.
Network (HNN). Retrieved November 27, 2012, from http://hnn.us/articles/895.html.
Forbes. Retrieved November 27, 2012, from http://www.forbes.com.
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