Exchange Rates and Export Opportunities
This paper compares exchange rates between Australia, Great ritain, and Japan from last February 28th, 2003 and August 28th, 2002. Analysis of where a company could focus its export business based on past current and 180 days forward exchange rate trends and other factors will then be examined. Finally a memorandum to convince management that establishing an export business to one of the countries below is a good idea.

Comparative exchange rates between 4 selected countries and the U.S.

elow are the exchange rates listed by the Pacific Stock Exchange for February 28, 2003 for Australia, Great ritain, and Japan. (Pacific Stock Exchange Website)

Code

Country

Units/USD

USD/Unit

AUD

Australia (Dollar)

GP

Great ritain (Pound)

JPY

Japan (Yen)

KRW

South Korea (Won)

elow are the exchange rates listed by the Pacific Stock Exchange for August 28, 2002 for Australia, Great ritain, and Japan. (Pacific Stock Exchange Website)

YYYY/MM/DD 2002/08/28

USD/AUD

USD/GP

USD/JPY

USD/KRW

AUD/USD

GP/USD

JPY/USD

KRW/USD

Examining exchange rates between the four chosen countries and the U.S.

As can be….

In addition, floating exchange rates may also give the government some flexibility with respect to the consumption function. The current issue with Greece and the euro illustrates this. Greece needs to spur economic growth in order to build a current account surplus that will help it to pay off its debt. In a floating exchange rate regime, Greece could do this by reducing the value of its currency, making Greek exports cheaper on world markets. This would bring in the necessary foreign capital. The Greek government, however, does not have control over its exchange rate as a member of the Eurozone. As such, it has no such flexibility to spur export growth. Indeed, Greek products are overpriced on the world market because costs in Greece are out of line with its economy. Although the euro is a floating currency, for the Greek government it is not because it cannot exert….

Fixed Exchange Rates
The aggregate demand -- aggregate supply accounting identity is

C + I + G + E -- M = GDP.

Under a fixed exchange rate system, the following would occur under expansionary monetary policy. The money supply would increase. This encourages spending, spurring demand from consumers and businesses (C and I). In order to balance this, either government spending would need to decline, or net exports would need to decrease. Assume that government spending remains unchanged. If the country is buying more from overseas and exporting less, then foreign reserves would be depleted in order to pay for those goods.

The first major trade agreement came with the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) in 1948, which was designed to help reduce barriers to the trade in goods. Over time, the GATT became replaced with the orld Trade Organization with its successive rounds of negotiations designed to further liberalize trade….

However, once the floating rate system was implemented, there was a decrease in inflation and unemployment. This helped Chile to experience strong demand for imports and it kept whole sale / retail prices in check. One of the keys to their success was the fact that the central bank utilized flexibility when intervening in the Forex markets. This allowed the country to go through strong periods of stable economic growth and quickly adjust to new challenges in the global economy. (Gregio, 2004)
At the same time, the government must enact policies that will help to support responsible growth. This means that issues such as corruption, crime, inflation, the total amounts of government spending, interest rates and trade figures will influence the prevailing rates in the market. These factors can affect the confidence of traders, investors and ratings agencies. (Walker, 2002)

For example, Jamaica is utilizing a floating rate system. This has….

floating exchange rates reflect current events and future expectations; there are many reasons for such continual fluctuations. A brief examination of current events in Europe and the United States illustrates how quickly exchange rates change and what propels them to do so. The article "Euro Falls to 2-Year Low Against Dollar"(Waki, 2005), which appeared in The Moscow Times, succinctly describes the latest exchange rates of the euro and the dollar and the main reasons for these developments.
As of the early hours of November 10, 2005, the euro fell a quarter percent, currently holding at 1.1750 dollars (Waki, 2005). This is another drop in a series of recent falls; for example, it traded at $1.793 on November 7, 2005 and at $1.787 on November 8, 2005 (ead, 2005). This is an interesting situation as the euro had previously and steadily been appreciating. Naturally, a falling euro signals a stronger U.S.….

Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Forex's opening trade on February 14, 2012 for the U.S. Dollar- Euro was one Dollar for .7593 Euros (Google Finance.com. February 14, 2012). Over the period covering the "Great Recession" and the subsequent recovery, the Euro has moved in a yo-yo pattern, at times buoyed by a weak dollar policy of the U.S., and alternately battered by a flight to safety as investors seek the relative strength of the world's reserve currency. Most recently the Dollar- Euro trade has seen the impact of a contagion sovereign debt crisis which has caused vicissitude swings in the currency trade. At the core of these movements however, is the fundamental question of what are the causes and factors of exchange rate fluctuations, and ultimately who are the beneficiaries?

Causes and Factors of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

hen discussing the exchange rate there are two components; the nominal exchange rate and the real. The former….

Exchange Rate
One of the risks that I face in this particular scenario is that by the time September rolls around and I receive the funds from the Swedish government the exchange rate will likely change. If the exchange rate goes against me, for example goes to 11 SKr/$, I would face a shortage of approximately 10%. An even higher risk would be if the exchange rate goes even higher. Research on the fluctuation rate provides me with data that assists me in my dilemma.

According to www.x-rates.com the exchange rate of the Swedish krona to the American dollar

during a recent three-month period has fluctuated approximately six percent with a high of and a low of 6.299. If this rate of fluctuation continues to hold true I face a risk of a six percent rise or decline in the value of the kroner when I receive the funds.

Since the current rate of….

Exchange Rate Crisis
Exchange rate crises are quite common phenomena in the economic world. From the 1994 Mexican crisis and the 1997 Asian crisis to the 1999 Argentine crisis, currency crises have occurred with a somewhat remarkable frequency. Also, known as currency crises or balance of payments (BOP) crisis, exchange rate crises occur when a country's monetary authority (central bank) has inadequate foreign exchange reserves to sustain its set exchange rates. This is usually caused by trade shocks, persistent budget deficits, foreign interest rate shocks, political uncertainty, banking system weaknesses, and moral hazard problems. An exchange rate crisis is often symbolised by factors such as hyper-inflation, banking crisis, devaluation, and economic recession, clearly indicating the dire consequences a currency crisis can have on the economy. More importantly, an exchange rate crisis can easily spread beyond the national boundary, underscoring the need for measures to prevent the crisis. This paper discusses the….

fixed and floating exchange rates mechanisms are the exact opposites of one another, the advantages of one are generally the disadvantages of the other. Anyhow, in order to be able to evaluate for each case in part its positive and negative aspects, we should start with defining each, as most of the advantages and disadvantages derive there from.
The fixed exchange rate mechanism refers to a mechanism where "the government (central bank) sets and maintains the official exchange rate)

." The key word in this mechanism is pegging, which means that the currency has a price set against a major currency of the world and that the central bank ensures that this rate is kept throughout the entire period the currency is pegged.

The main advantage in this case refers to stability. Indeed, a fixed exchange rate mechanism helps eliminate or speculative activity on the respective currency. With no more currency risk,….

Theoretically speaking, there is only one factor affecting the exchange rate of a country adopting a floating exchange rate regime: the supply and demand of the respective currency on the international market. In this sense, if demand exceeds supply, then the value of the currency will go up and the respective currency will appreciate. On the other hand, if supply exceeds demand, the currency will depreciate and the price of the currency will decrease.
Starting from this statement, however, we can discuss several different factors that make the demand and supply vary, affecting thus the exchange. First of all, we have the level of the interest rate in a country. If the interest rates are higher, then foreign investors will choose to enter the national capital markets, purchase local currency and invest in local bonds or T-bills, which bring high returns, due to high interest rates. This mechanism will lead to….

exchange rate risk can be hedged. The current cost of the room is £50 per day, which is: 50 * 1.50 = $75.00. For a consumer, the easiest way to hedge this risk would be to purchase pounds today, so that the cost of those pounds is locked in. The transaction is a money-loser because of the time value of money, except that in this situation the nominal amount of pounds is locked in, so the nominal amount of pounds needed will not change. Only the opportunity to make interest on that money changes. For £50 and one year, this amount is negligible, but for larger transactions the time value of money is significant and important, making this an undesirable option.
If the transaction was larger, it could be hedged on the futures market or with interest rate swaps. A forward contract could also be purchased. Futures have a downside….

Finance
Managing Financial isk including Currency Exchange ate isks

Deere and Company are suffering as the string dollar is impacting negative on sales in the Euro zone. The firm is suffering not only due to the exchange rate, but also the high level of competition from other European firms that are operating in the Euro.

If companies operate across international boarders they will face risks associated with exchange rate movement. In the case of a strong home currency, this will make the goods more expensive to purchase if the pricing is based in the home currency. The basing of the price on the dollar, even if it is converted to Euro's effectively passes the risk to the purchaser. The impact can be the price becoming uncompetitive, especially when there are firms that are basing their pricing structure on the same currency as the purchasers.

The firm may deal with the issue by implementing strategies….

country can interfere in the foreign exchange markets. In many cases, the motivation for doing so lies with propping up exporters, by lowering the value of the domestic currency. While this is the most common reason for currency manipulation, it is not the only one. In some cases, currency manipulation aids in the cause of making debt disappear, lowering the value of that debt in order that it might be paid back early. This paper will discuss some of the different ways that countries can affect their exchange rates.
A freely-traded currency should reflect the economic strength of a nation, in particular the expectations for future interest rates. Where expectations for future rates are relatively low, that means that the economy is expected to perform worse. This is the case for Japan. The country has adopted a policy recently of a low yen, in order to provide some spark to….

Currency
Appreciate, depreciate

Changes in the spot rate of exchange between two countries can occur as the result of a change in the relative interest rates in those countries, a change in the balance of trade between those countries and changes in the inflation rates in those countries (Van Bergen, 2015).

The two that are most closely followed are the differences in the interest rates, and the differences in the inflation rates.

A forward is a contract that is written between a party and a counterparty, to exchange currency in a set amount at a set rate in the future. This is proprietary between the parties. A future is publicly-traded. So while it also sets a future date and price for a currency, it is publicly traded, the dates do not change, and the amount is fixed -- to increase the amount you have to buy or sell more futures.

A put option is an….

forward discount in predicting exchange rate modifications. The conclusion of the literature review is that the forward discount is a biased predictor and that are two possible explanations for this situation. One cause would be the presence of a time varying risk premium, and the other the failure of agents to make rational expectations (the inability to use all available information in an efficient manner).
The forward discount puzzle (as a predictor of exchange rate modifications) is a very discussed puzzle in the international finance literature, since its importance is quite high. As a result, numerous studies have concentrated on this issue, i.e. On the causes on the bias. Some authors (Fama, 1984), believe that this problem is traceable to the existence of a time-varying risk premium. Others connect it to learning effect (Lewis, 1989) or irrationality (Bilson, 1981) the "peso problem" (Krasker, 1980),

The "peso problem term" was introduced into….