Finance
There are three different models that can be used to estimate a company's cost of capital. Basically, each of these three is used to estimate the cost of equity. The cost of debt is usually calculated on the basis of the current weighted average of the yield to maturity on the company's debt. Thus, it is the cost of equity that must be calculated. The cost of equity reflects the return that the shareholders need to be paid in order for them to own the stock. This have given us three major approaches to calculating the cost of equity.
The first of these is the capital asset pricing model. The formula for this is:
Investopedia (2013)
The cost of equity therefore reflects three major components. The first is the risk free rate, which is inherent in all securities. The second is the market risk premium, which is added to the risk free rate for any given market. Third is the firm-specific risk, which in this case is reflected by the beta. The beta is the correlation of the stock's price to the value of the market. Thus, it reflects the volatility level of a stock relative to the market, in essence the firm's risk beyond the market risk premium.
The underlying assumption of this model is that investors are essentially paying for past returns, of both the stock and the market, along with the current risk free rate.
The second model is the dividend growth model. This model assumes that investors are basically paying for the cash flows that come from the dividends. The dividends are the only cash flows that matter in this model, because they are the only ones that reliable. A rational investor, this model assumes, would not pay for capital gains. Those would be priced into the stock already so only the expected future cash flows from dividends are included in the value of the stock. This model is based on the following formula:
Source: Investopedia (2013)
So the value of the stock reflects the dividend today, the growth rate of the dividend going forward, and the firm's cost of capital.
The third model is the arbitrage pricing theory. This has the basic mathematical structure of the capital asset pricing model but it uses different inputs. Whereas the CAPM takes the cost of equity as relating to the correlation between the price of the stock and the general market, APT measures the price of the stock vs. multiple macroeconomic variables. The market can be one, but there are usually several others as well. The underlying logic of this methods is that there are macroeconomic predictors of success, so if those can be understood, one can determine a more accurate price for the security. This of course allows us to derive a cost of equity. So any number of different variables can be taken into consideration. Furthermore, because different variables are used, they need to be given a weighted average. The user can choose the variables and the weights for them, which means that any given person will do the APT calculation for a company differently,...
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