This paper examines three core capital budgeting methods — payback period, net present value (NPV), and internal rate of return (IRR) — with a focus on how firms use them to evaluate investment decisions. It explains how the payback period is calculated and applied, outlines the payback criterion rule, and identifies key limitations of the method, including its failure to account for cash flows beyond the payback window and the time value of money. The paper then discusses why NPV, despite being the preferred method in practice, is not used in isolation, highlighting its reliance on estimates and its single-perspective view of project viability.
The payback period is calculated as the time it takes for an investment to yield profit equivalent to the initial investment amount. For example, if an investment costs $100,000, the payback period would be the length of time until the company earns $100,000 on that investment. What this measure provides, in terms of useful information, is an indication that cash flows are front-end oriented. When a project pays back its money quickly, this represents a reduction of risk. Overall, the firm benefits because not only is the project profitable, but it is also subject to reduced risk.
The payback criterion rule states that a project should pay itself back within a specified amount of time (Jahnke & Simons, 2008). For each firm, that payback threshold will vary. Payback times help indicate to a firm how quickly it will recoup its investment, making this timeline a major factor in assessing the overall risk of any given investment.
The payback period is not a perfect method of evaluating cash flows, for a couple of key reasons. The first is that the payback period method of evaluation is inherently incomplete — it effectively ends when the payback period ends. Cash flows may well continue beyond the initial payback window. This means that the solution with the shortest payback period may not, overall, be the best solution. In fact, the solution with the shortest payback period may actually be a relatively poor choice when viewed over the full life of the project.
"Compares Project A and B using payback thresholds"
"Introduces NPV and IRR as dominant budgeting methods"
"Argues NPV has weaknesses requiring complementary methods"
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