The IRR calculation also shows a loss for each project, with Project B. making the least loss, indicating that if one of these was to go ahead this would be the least damaging. However, we may argue the firm may be better taking either and not paying for the capital to support the projects.
Part D
It is essential that the assessment make use of a discounted cash flow in order to account for the erosion of the value of money over time. The concept is simple, 100 in cash today will not be worth the same amount buying the same goods in 5 years time. In terms of the firm there is the potential impact of inflation. However, it is usually the WACC which is used as the discount rate. This can be conceived by looking at 100 in capital, if this takes 11.5% to maintain, the value will fall by that amount after one year, and each subsequent year the value will decrease. Therefore, the discounting will mean that the projected revenues can be assessed in terms of their real value rather than numerical value.
Part E
The calculations would change if the cost of capital changed, if it increased the discount rate would increase. If the discount rate was to increase, this would mean the value for money would erode faster, so the NPV would show a greater loss. .
If the cost of capital dropped the discount rate would reduce, for example to 4% this would decrease the rate at which the value of the money erodes, and increase the value of the investment, this would result in the following calculations.
Table 7 NPV for project a at 4% discount rate
Year
Profit
discount rate discounted cash flow
Accumulative total
Year 1
4,500
0.96153846
4,327
4,327
Year 2
4,500
0.92455621
4,161
8,487
Year 3
4,500
0.88899636
4,000
12,488
Year 4
4,500
0.85480419
3,847
16,335
Year 5
4,500
0.82192711
3,699
20,033
Less initial investment
18,000
NPV
2,033
Table 8 NPV for project B. At 4% discount rate
Year
Profit
discount rate discounted cash flow
Accumulative total
Year 1
6,500
0.961538
6,250
6,250
Year 2
7,000
0.924556
6,472
12,722
Year 3
8,500
0.888996
7,556
20,278
Year 4
7,500
0.854804
6,411
26,689
Year 5
6,000
0.821927
4,932
31,621
Less initial investment
27,000
NPV
4,621
In both cases this increases the NPV turning a negative to a positive; this also impacts on the IRR as they become positive, 6.73% for project a and 7.94% for project B. This should be referred to in part g.
Part F
The NPV is a measure that is sensitive to changes. However, it may be argued that long-term projects are more sensitive than short-term projects due to the way in which discounting takes place. The discounting is undertaken on a compound basis, so as time goes by any errors that are present may compound and increase their impact on the result. In a short-term project there is less time for the error to increase as a result of compounding as the result from one year passes to the next. The NPV model is also one that favors higher early return due to the discounting, which also reduces the sensitivity of the model to errors in the earlier years.
Part G
Changes in the cost of capital will impact on the IRR. The cost of capital is used to reduce the net revenue created, so may be seen...
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