To increase effective demand, Keynesians believe the government must balance the economy with deficit and increase expenditure. However, the constant alternation between booms and recession is causing the booms to get shorter while the recessions become longer. This phenomenon is the result of empirical evidence that indicates that in the end, the interest rates decrease.
However, this situation creates a problem of capitalism as the rich increase their wealth while financial deficit worsens. Minsky adopted the perspective of Keynesians, hypothesized financial instability, as the finance and money that connects the present with the future, but the future is uncertain. Minsky finds the problem of financial stability is in financing. However, financial instability increases under contemporary capitalism, which increases economic crisis. This leads to the conclusion that to solve economic crisis, there is a need to reduce financing and take up investments in real economy.
This is in contrast to the Keynesian economists that believe on the demand side of the economy. Mainstream economists make the argument that the main driving force of the recession was supply problems like labor market frictions or labor supply shock. Therefore, the Keynesian theory is rejected by mainstream economists, since it proposes the utilization of fiscal policy as a way of affecting aggregate demand as a means to solve economic crisis. Mainstream economists also make the claim that since the crisis was the result of negative supply side shocks, policies that affect aggregate demand have a minimal effect after the aftermath of the economic crisis. In the worst case, mainstream economists believe that an increase in aggregate demand by fiscal policies can cause a rise in deficit for America, and cause debt financing unsustainable.
Mainstream economists form part of the classical theorists that hold the view that limiting the government's role in the economy. These theorists believe that without the government, the economic crisis would not have occurred. They make the claim that the government's fiscal policies increase the rates of interest leading to a decrease in consumption. Eventually, spending on investment also reduces and crowds out of the economy. Therefore, in light of this, classical theorists propose the solution for this crisis as the use of laissez-faire view of the economy. The application of this view in the economy leads to monetary policies controlling short-term economic frictions. Within the four theories that offer different explanations and solutions over the economic crisis, I prefer the views of the Minsky and Keynesian theorists.
This is because from this point-of-view, the economic crisis by definition, is the balance between the aggregate supply collapse and aggregate demand. Nevertheless, the mainstream and classical economic theories assume that the aggregate supply and demand are in equilibrium. Inherently, they embrace Say's law that states that if a society manages supply, another society will match with demand, and therefore, the general supply overflow will exists causing equilibrium within the economy. In reality, aggregate supply and demand are not in equilibrium as they fluctuate continuously. Therefore, any meaningful intervention in the market does not create any equilibrium of the economy. Instead, the utilization of fiscal policies can cause significant changes taken together demand that pushes the economy to equilibrium. Therefore, the interventions of the government using fiscal policies, which are supported by the Minsky and Keynesian theories, in reality stimulate the economy to escape current recession. Moreover, the empirical evidence of Minsky support arguments that is against the use of monetary policies as a means to recovery.
Looking back at the 1980s, it is evident that each time there was a change in the rate of interest or the supply of money, people affect each other to change their consumption leading to negative consequences. In that era, a decrease in the rates of interest or the supply of money increased, people turned to viewing their money as free money and ended up spending more. This excessive spending along with improved financing leads to an unsustainable household debt. This is because more people cannot sustain their debt, therefore, uncertainty in the economy increases and consequently, their confidence. Ultimately, during the...
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