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Bernstein, J., Gubsky, A., And Yudin, P. Term Paper

Bernstein, J., Gubsky, A., and Yudin, P. Under the Roof, The Moscow Times. (1995), section 830. Fielding, David. (2000). Can Political Instability Generate Business Cycles? Evidence from the Intrifada. Retrieved 9-23-05 from unknown. Website: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/lesson/econ00-9.pdf

Hong, Jung Hwa, Jones, Peter, and Song, Haiyan. (1999). Political Risk and Foreign Investment Decision of International Hotel Companies. Retrieved 9-23-05, from Hotel.Online. Website: http://www.hotel-online.com/Trends/PanAmerProceedingsMay99/PolRiskInvestHotels.html

Hubbard, Joan C. (1997). Doing Business in Moscow: Threats and Opportunities. Retrieved 9-23-05, from B>Quest. Website: http://www.westga.edu/~bquest/1997/moscow.html

What factors contribute to the fluctuation of exchange rates?

In every currency transaction there are risks due to fluctuations on the realized value of such transfers. Many different factors contribute to the fluctuations of exchange rates. There are economic factors, political factors, and psychological factors to consider. Consumer driven supply and demand plays a part in the fluctuations that take place in the currency market. Another important contributing factor when dealing with foreign exchange rates is purchasing power parity, or PPP.

Economic, political, and psychological factors contribute to the fluctuation of exchange rates in a big way. The balance of payments, monetary and fiscal policy, inflation, real and nominal interest rates, government controls, and incentives are all economic factors that play a part in exchange rates. Contributing political factors include the philosophy of leaders...

Psychological factors affecting exchange rates can include expectations of the market, forward market prices, and traders' attitudes.
Supply and demand is a large contributing figure to fluctuation of exchange rates. By this I mean that the price of one currency in any other currency is the result of forces of supply and demand in the foreign exchange market. When one country's goods and/or services are in high demand, a short supply results. This allows the country to charge more for their goods and/or services, thereby increasing that country's economy and allowing the worth of that country's currency to increase in the foreign exchange market. So you have a fluctuation in exchange rates. Though supply and demand is an economic factor, it is such a major factor in the fluctuation of exchange rates that it deserves separate mention.

Another major contributing factor to the fluctuation of exchange rates is the purchasing power parity, or PPP. PPP is important to take into account when forecasting exchange rates. Basically, purchasing power parity means that one unit of currency should buy the same amount of goods and services as it bought in an equilibrium period, despite differential rates of inflation. Consequently, a lower level of inflation would equal a rise in the PPP effect. The formula for calculating the PPP impact is: S (+1=(S ()x1+i (/1+i (. In this formula, S is the spot rate of exchange in the number of units of the home currency equal to one unit of the foreign currency, i ( is the inflation rate of in the home country, i ( is the inflation rate in the foreign country, ( is the base period or the present time, and (+1 is the future time…

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Political instability is a feature of the general environment and can manifest itself in a variety of ways in business transactions. It differs from political risk, which refers to the possibility that political decisions or events in a country will affect the business climate in such a way that investors will lose money or not make as much money as originally expected. However, an unstable political environment can create, or hint at, possible political risk. This can affect the foreign business world in many different ways. There may be a decline of the stock market and a decline in foreign investment due to fear of political risk. An increase in crime and corruption can upset businesses operating within a foreign country, such as was the case in Moscow. According to studies performed at the beginning of the Yeltsin presidency in 1994, "all retail stores, restaurants, cafes, kiosks, clothing markets, and auto importers, along with seventy to eighty percent of privatized enterprises and commercial banks, were making protection payments to criminal gangs." (Bernstein, et al., 1995) Legal factors affected by political instability in turn affect doing business in foreign countries. Political instability can create different levels of taxation and change zoning laws. How a business is required to be registered may change and the actual operation laws and tax laws themselves may also change. The amount of government support a foreign business receives and the way a foreign business is allowed to advertise can be affected. Also, the privatization of local companies and services may create more competition and ultimately push foreign businesses out of a market. These are all some of the ways that political instability can affect doing business in foreign countries.

3. What are some differences between business and financial risks?

Business and financial risks sometimes overlap, but the two terms define different sets of risks. Financial risk is the possibility that a bond issuee will default, by failing to repay principal in a timely manner. So financial risks deal with the actual risk of a business not being able to recover money lent. Business risk is the risk associated with the unique circumstances of a particular company, as they might affect the price of that company's securities. Unlike financial risks, business risks are not always risks directly associated with a company's monetary assets, even though they can ultimately affect the financial bottom line of a company. Also, business risks will vary depending on the type of business, while financial risks are similar throughout business. Examples of financial risks may be loans or company issued credit lines. An example of a business risk may be a clothing retailer deciding to display a clothing line by an unknown designer.
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