Justification For The Research The Research Proposal

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Additionally, we find that the primary concern for banks is the trend of SME's short-term lines of credit.

H4: Among the SME credit history, the usage level of their short-term lines of credit represents their main determinant.

The financial structure as well as its effects is never the only determinants of the default probability as measured by rating systems. The profitability performances plays a relevant role in the credit evaluation process of a given (Edmister, 1972, Pagliacci,2006). This statement is then verified by the 5th hypothesis:

H5: An increase in profitability of an SME improves its rating.

The variables that plays a role in the failure prediction

The failure prediction models are based on a standard set of variables/indicators. Extant literature indicates that these variables can be divided into there main categories (Altman,1968; Caouette et al., 1998; Beaver, 1967; Edminster 1972; Chen & Shimerda, 1981;Pompe & Bilderbeek, 2005).

1. Loss of competitive strength as a result of a fall in the demand or a sudden drop in internal efficiency.

2. Increase in the level of debt weight as a result of an external event, like a rise in interest rates; or on the basis of internal reasons, like reduced cash flow or a financial structure imbalance.

3. Deterioration in the quality of the nature credit relationship, especially in relation to the short-term lines of credit.

Method:

1. Conduct a literature review on the use creditworthiness models in the rating of the financial SMEs

2. Write an in-depth research report that combines my own understanding of all the relevant theories and integrates previous research with the results of my own empirical research.

Timetable:

Prepare the research proposal by Complete the data collection process by....

Complete the data analysis process by Give presentation

...

(1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance 23, 589-609.
Berger, a.N., & Udell, G.F. (1995). Relationship lending and lines of credit in small firm finance. Journal of Business 68, 351-382.

Beaver, W.H. (1967). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Empirical research in accounting: Selected studies. Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research 4, 71-111.

Berry, a., & Robertson, J. (2006). Overseas bankers in the UK and their use of information for making lending decisions: Changes from 1985. The British Accounting Review 38, 175-191.

Chen, K.H., & Shimerda, T.A. (1981). An Empirical Analysis of Useful Financial Ratios. Financial Management 10, 51-60.

Claessens et al. (2005). The Basel II Reform and Retail Credit Markets. Journal of Financial Services Research 28:1/2/3 5

Edmister, R. (1972). An empirical test of financial ratio analysis for Small Business failure prediction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 7, 1477-1493.

Ekpenyong, DB Nyong, MO (1992).SMALL and MEDIUM-SCALE ENTERPRISES in NIGERIA: Their characteristics, problems and sources of finance

Ogechukwu, AD (2011). The Role of Small Scale Industry in National Development in Nigeria. Universal Journal of Management and Social Sciences Vol. 1, (1)

Pagliacci, M. (2006). SME's and Basel 2 Challenge. Theoretical and Applied Economics 3, 7-10.

Pompe, P., & Bilderbeek, J. (2005). The prediction of bankruptcy of small- and medium-sized industrial firms. Journal of Business Venturing 20, 847-868.

Sources Used in Documents:

References

Altman, E.I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance 23, 589-609.

Berger, a.N., & Udell, G.F. (1995). Relationship lending and lines of credit in small firm finance. Journal of Business 68, 351-382.

Beaver, W.H. (1967). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Empirical research in accounting: Selected studies. Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research 4, 71-111.

Berry, a., & Robertson, J. (2006). Overseas bankers in the UK and their use of information for making lending decisions: Changes from 1985. The British Accounting Review 38, 175-191.


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