Labor market and the reporting for the status thereof would seem to be an easy thing to interpret and take in. However, that is really not the case. When one throws in the different "types" of labor rates that exist, the fact that many are "seasonally adjusted" and so forth, it is easy for the "simple" to become more difficult and complex. This report will give an example news article, a review of the literature that explains and backs up the news article, the methodology that was used to create this report, a results and discussion section that explains the findings and a summary and conclusion that wraps things up. While the entire picture of what makes up labor statistics may seem a little daunting, it can all be explained and understood with a little effort.
Review of Literature
The news article that will be the starting point for this report was issued about three days ago by the news/political site the Politico. The article explains how the economy added 223,000 jobs in June. It also explains that this is a fall from the 280,000 jobs that were added in May. It is explained that the unemployment rate dropped to 5.3% which is a drop from 5.5% from May. One analyst, by the name of Stephen Stanley, says that the economy is "strong" but that wages are "weak" in that they are not rising. However, they are not falling either, so that is apparently better than nothing. The article also notes that last quarter's GDP number was actually negative but the strong job growth numbers probably will make that an anomaly rather than a sign of things to come. The article also notes that prior month calculations were taken lower than they were originally touted as being. May was lowered from 280,000 to 254,000 and April went from 223,000 to 187,000. One notable statistic in the data was that the labor participation rate, that being the amount of people out of the entire potential workforce that actually participate in the workforce, dropped about 0.3% to 62.6%. This is a drop from 66% on the "eve" of the 2007-2009 recession. In other words, the amount of people actually working or trying to work has dropped nearly four percent since the start of the Great Recession (Noah, 2015).
What that news article shows is that the data from just one labor market report can have such mixed data. There was good (the jobs amount going up), the bad (the labor participation rate going down) and the stuff in the middle (flat wages). Because of this every mixed bag of statistics, one can see the proverbial spin machines that occur in the rest of the news media when those other sources try to analyze and "position" the information they way that they see it or, more often, the way they want others to see it. For example, a different article about the very same data was quite blunt with its headline in that it said "Jobs at a Crossroads: Hiring up, Pay Flat." The sub-headline notes that the labor market has been recovering over the last six years in a "fitful" way. What makes the Wall Street article different is that they focused much more on the labor participation rate. For example, they note that there are 1.9 million people that are "available to work" but that are not "active" looking to get a job. They say that this is quite notable given that more than 2.9 million jobs have been created over the last year. The Wall Street Journal article also seizes on the fact that wages were flat in the report. They assert that wages must be raised (at least nominally) for job growth to continue to thrive and grow. However, they did present another side in the form of an economist from JP Morgan Chase who said that there is an economic "slack" that is about to disappear and this should lead wage growth starting to appear (Morath, 2015).
Yet another article about the labor rate was that from CNN. While the prior two articles sounded a few alarm bells and were quite mixed in terms of how optimistic the country should be about the unemployment rate and such, the headline of the CNN article notes without any context that the rate of unemployment is the lowest in seven years. The sub-head details how the "weather is warming up in American and so is the economy." The article does mention wage growth but it is buried in the fourth paragraph. They also mention...
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