This paper surveys core concepts in international finance and trade as they relate to US economic activity. It examines foreign direct investment both outward and inward, the mechanics of forward, futures, and options markets, and the relationship between forward and spot rates. The paper also analyzes how domestic interest rates influence the balance of payments, the welfare effects of trade creation and trade diversion, and the theory of purchasing power parity alongside its limitations. Additional sections address floating versus managed exchange rate regimes and the economic costs and benefits of outsourcing, with real-world examples used throughout to illustrate each concept.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is the process by which domestic investment capital enters foreign markets. Available direct investment options include long-term capital infrastructure, the purchase of buildings and land for industrial use, and investment in developing revenue behind hard assets such as film financing. One example of FDI is the decision by the Chinese government to ease restrictions on FDI for the development of private hospital infrastructure. A scenario in which a US-domiciled private hospital invests in constructing medical buildings within the borders of a foreign country as an affiliated hospital is a clear example of US foreign direct investment abroad.
The reverse of US FDI is FDI into the US. The relative importance of inbound over outbound investment has featured prominently in financial news as foreign countries actively make direct investments in the United States. A recent example is India's private equity firms engaging Hollywood film studios to finance film development, marketing, and release. FDI in this context was critical to the continuation of Hollywood film production, as Wall Street and other major US-based investors pulled out of the entertainment industry due to a lack of capital following the economic crisis. This is a case where FDI contributed to the growth of an industry that would otherwise have declined due to insufficient financing from domestic investors.
Forward contracts and swaps are financial derivatives used to hedge against investment risk, and they form the basis of the forward exchange market. Forward contracts emerged in the early twentieth century as a means to guarantee a price for a commodity to be delivered on a future date. For example, a farmer seeking to protect against supply-and-demand pressures could enter into a forward contract guaranteeing receipt of a fixed price for a harvest regardless of market supply. A futures contract operates similarly — for instance, a six-month forward contract to purchase wheat at an agreed-upon, below-market price. That price is determined by the forward rate.
The options market is comprised of option contracts that give an investor the right — but not the obligation — to buy or sell a stock without taking ownership of the underlying asset. For example, suppose it is January and an investor purchases a February call option on General Electric. The current price of GE stock is $20.00 USD, and the option expires in February with a premium of $3.00 per contract, granting the right to purchase the stock at $25.00. This is a sound strategy if the investor believes the stock price will rise above $25.00 — that is, move "in the money" — before the expiration date (the third Friday of the month). If the price rises to $27.00, the investor can exercise the option, purchase the stock at $25.00 for a $3.00 contract premium, and then sell it on the open market. A put option, by contrast, grants the right to sell a stock at a specified price on a specified date. There are various options strategies, including straddles, which involve simultaneously going long or short on a stock while buying or selling a call or put.
"Relationship between forward and spot pricing"
"Interest rates and their effect on trade balances"
"Free trade policy impacts on global efficiency"
"PPP theory, currency regimes, and outsourcing effects"
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