Planning Strategic Foresight People and PhD Model Answer

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Communications of future development

Factors regarding future developments can be effectively structured with the creation of scenarios. Potential recipients of such information would be, government decision making organs including department of defense, department of commerce and even institutional managers of organizations (Hammond 1998).

Stimulation of strategic thinking

The process of creating scenarios would make strategic organs in the government to think objectively about the future. Scenario building would therefore act as a catalyst for future thinking (Hammond 1998)

Creation of orientation knowledge

Creation of future scenario blocks acts as a knowledge base for future governments. This usually does not always equate to instant decisions for successive governments regarding certain national issues, but the body of knowledge is always availed to decision making organs when the real need arises. Scenario forecast can there fore be termed as a way of piling stocks of knowledge for future considerations (Hammond 1998)

Disadvantages of Strategic Foresight and future warning model

The biggest problem made by most organizations is the assumption that through following the strategic model effectively, the desired outcomes are going to be realized automatically. Strategic foresight models are built in unique circumstances and might not apply to all situations.

Conclusion

Strategic foresight is an integral tool in establishing a conventional future growth that would forward development initiatives in the long run. It becomes important for states to come up with a practical strategic oversight based on realistic analogies. This would go
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a long way in tackling governance issues which relate to National security and general National policies. The impact of different facets analyzed under the emerging PESTLE analysis would provide a good framework to which the strategies would be formulated. Strategic foresight would even help avoid future calamities which would be avoided through foresight of future calamities. Strategic oversight therefore becomes an important tool for managing the future. It would be important for the state to carry out a focus and analysis of existing trends first before formulating any National policies. This would give a glimpse of how practical the strategic oversight would be. Global forecast could however be a reliable source of data to base current strategies by including system models that would predict an overall outcome of the strategy and also identify the problematic areas.

References

Bolt, P 2005, American defense policy, New York, JHU Press.

Hammond, a 1998, Which world?: scenarios for the 21st century: global destinies, regional choices, Illinois, Earthscan.

Henderson, H 1996, Building a win-win world: life beyond global economic warfare, Berrett-

Koehler Publishers.

Inayatullah, S 2005, Questioning the future: methods and tools for organizational and societal transformation, Tamkang University.

Slaughter, R 2004 Futures beyond dystopia: creating social foresight, Routledge.

Schwartz, P 1996, the art of the long view: paths to strategic insight for yourself and your

Company Currency, New York, Doubleday.

World Economic Forum 2010, Global…

Sources Used in Documents:

References

Bolt, P 2005, American defense policy, New York, JHU Press.

Hammond, a 1998, Which world?: scenarios for the 21st century: global destinies, regional choices, Illinois, Earthscan.

Henderson, H 1996, Building a win-win world: life beyond global economic warfare, Berrett-

Koehler Publishers.

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