International Relations
The Senkaku Islands in the South China Sea have become a warm zone, with China and Japan in particular engaged in military exercises in the region. The United States is another major player, offering full support to Japan including sending military vessels to the disputed area and threatening response should China try to seize the islands from Japan (McCurry & Branigan, 2014). The Senkaku Islands are presently uninhabited, but have been under Japanese administration since the U.S. returned them to Japan in 1972. The history of the islands is basically a convoluted legal dispute. China has old maps with the islands on them and assumes that meant they were under legal Chinese control. The islands were ceded to Japan officially at the end of the Sino-Japanese War in 1895 as part of Taiwan. Taiwan was technically returned to China after WWII, but the islands remained under U.S. administration before they were returned to Japan. China believes the islands should have been returned when Taiwan was (Posner, 2014). Then there is the obvious complication that the People's Republic of China has never for a single minute controlled Taiwan -- even if they were legally part of Taiwan they would still not fall to the PRC, but to the Republic of China. It has been noted that China was never concerned about the sovereignty of the islands until hydrocarbon reserves were found in their territorial waters (Posner, 2014).
This dispute, therefore, which naturally also involves a fourth party in Taiwan, is a good case study for international relations theories. There are essentially two issues at play here. There is the obvious issue of the hydrocarbons, their value and what they mean to these respective countries. The second issue, however, is that of global power and influence. When Japan seized control of the islands, and through the Second World War, it was a major global military power. While it remains an economic power, Japan has no military might. China was a debacle throughout much of this period, first living under Japan's imperial rule and then going through a civil war and the predictably disastrous policies of domestic Communist geniuses. When China finally started to get its act together, it has risen in power considerably, to the point where it wishes to assert itself more regionally and globally. It typically does this through economic means, but has engaged its military as well on numerous occasions -- in Tibet, in support of Pol Pot, and more recently around disputed islands in the South China Sea like the Spratly Islands and the Senkakus. Concerns are that China is also interested in the Ryuku Islands as well (Holmes, 2014). There is also the matter of strong historical grievance in China for the Japanese occupation and egregious behavior on the part of the occupiers.
International Relations Theory
The primary international relations lens through which this warm conflict should viewed is the realist perspective, since that is the perspective that best describes the key players. Japan has some elements of liberalism and there are undertones that can be best explained by constructivism but China, Japan and the U.S. are all historically realist actors on the world stage. Offensive realism in particular suggests aggressive and conflict as a major defining approach of international relations. This school of thought argues that nations should not trust each other, as they are in competition with each other. This conflict can surely be distilled through this lens. China is acting as the aggressor here, in part because it does not like the status quo, but mostly because it wants to establish its military credentials in the region. The U.S. And Japan have issued a strong response here, including war planes and naval vessels, to curtail China's military ambitions in the region, which could extend to areas firmly within the Western sphere of influence like Taiwan and the Ryuku Islands. For Japan and the U.S., nipping China's ambitions in the bud is a strong motivator for taking a military stance over the Senkaku Islands (Kirshner, 2012). For its part, China seeks to leverage and reinforce its bargaining power in the region. There is reason to doubt that China has a substantial interest in Senkaku. Any country would be curious about oil and gas development, and there is little doubt that China needs more domestic production, but the reality is more likely that what's under Senkaku won't power China for very long. The motivator for China here is probably bigger picture -- extending its sphere of influence in the region. Most especially,...
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