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Cause And Relief Of Recessions Essay

Macroeconomics

W1: Macroeconomy and Its Impact on Businesses

Two macroeconomic trends that significantly impact businesses with respect to hiring, sales, and profit are inflation / interest rates and technology.

Inflation can be understood as the increase in prices over time (Rudd, 2022). If inflation is trending up it reduces the purchasing power of consumers. When inflation rises rapidly, it can be a serious shock for consumers and lead to less purchasing. It is the same for producers: the cost of raw materials, wages, and operating expenses increase, which impacts profit margins. High inflation can cause central banks to raise interest rates, which makes borrowing more expensive. The impact on businesses can be quite significant, as higher interest rates increase business costs, making companies hesitant to hire new employees or expand payroll. Plus, as inflation eats away at consumers purchasing power, demand for goods and services declines, which means fewer sales. Ultimately, increased production costs and reduced consumer spending add up to lower profitability. Thus, inflation and interest rates combine to create a problematic environment.

Technology is another trend that impacts productivity growth, but it also disrupts labor markets and business models (Wadley, 2021). Companies investing in automation can reduce labor costs and use new tech to improve efficiency and product quality. However, automation can displace workers, which can cause structural unemployment. Thus, with new technology, businesses may reduce hiring in favor of automation, and look to hire mainly employees with higher technical skills. Companies adopting advanced technology may gain a competitive edge and thus increase sales. However, job...

Still, great new tech can lead to increased efficiency and lower labor costs, which in turn can improve profitability.

W2: Impacts of High Unemployment on Business Environment

Frictional unemployment happens when people are between jobs or entering the labor force. It is temporary and generally considered a sign of an...

…dont keep pace with inflation, demand declines. Increased costs then erode profitability unless businesses can pass costs to consumers.

During both periods, businesses must adapt strategies to reduce risks, such as diversifying revenue streams and optimizing cost management.

W4: Price-Wage Rigidity and Government Intervention

Price-wage rigidity refers to the resistance of wages and prices to adjust downward in response to economic changes. Keynesian economists argue that due to labor contracts, worker expectations, and minimum wage laws, wages do not decrease easily, even in economic downturns. I agree with this. However, I also believe that excessive government intervention can distort markets. Policies should strike a balance between market efficiency and economic stability.

Classical economists argue that markets are self-regulating, and prices/wages will adjust over time, leading to full employment. Nothing is really self-regulating, because there are always going to be bad actors or selfish players, at all levels. There should be some intervention, but not so much that markets become centrally…

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References

Gupta, C., Poddar, S., & Ghosh, A. (2021). The consumer demand recovery beyond thepandemic. International Journal of Management and Human Science (IJMHS), 5(3), 60-68.

Rudd, J. B. (2022). Why do we think that inflation expectations matter for inflation?(And shouldwe?). Review of Keynesian Economics, 10(1), 25-45.

Wadley, D. (2021). Technology, capital substitution and labor dynamics: global workforcedisruption in the 21st century?. Futures, 132, 102802.

Zayniddin, T. (2021). Causes and types of unemployment. Conferencea, 56-58.

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